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Old 05-09-2017, 12:31 PM   #3693
MacFlame
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo View Post
If I'm running a club's hockey operations I put a moratorium on signing any player in the TSN Top Ten free agent list every summer as they almost always bit you in the ass.

TJ Oshie ...

30 years old (not old, but likely turning the corner)
Will want 6-7 years and likely $6-8M

and is coming off a season where he scored 33 goals on a 23% shooting percentage compared to a career average of 13% (12%) if you take out the 23% this year.

he averages 140 shots per year, so when he returns to his career average next season (12%) his goal total will go from 33 to 17 and that's before his age starts to show mid contract and his numbers really go in the tank.

Stay away!

This moratorium would have cost the Flames Frolik two summers ago, but I'm not sure there are any other hits from just staying away.
Agreed on Oshie.

I do believe its time to trade some young assets for top 6 help though. I think the team is close and I don't see many young players (if any) being able to supplant what is in the lineup right now, except for maybe Jankowski and Andersson, or over the next couple of years. The goalie prospects are a few years away yet. I wouldn't expect any of the forward prospects (except maybe Jankowski) to supplant anyone in the current top 9 and ditto with respect to the defensive prospects being able to displace anyone in the top 4, top 5 if England returns.

I'm not sure what the Flames could expect in return for some of their prospects, but I make a move now if I'm Treliving to try to improve the current top 6 ( or 9).
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