[troutman]

A Special Election In Kansas Could Signal 'Big League' Problems For GOP, Trump

http://www.npr.org/2017/04/11/523380...ntent=20170411

Given this district's ideological bent, the Republican is still favored. But a narrow result, especially one in single digits, could be a warning sign for the GOP ahead of a handful of upcoming special elections this year and next year's midterm elections. Since World War II, a president's party has lost an average of 29 seats in a president's first midterm. The only exception was George W. Bush, a year after Sept. 11.

Democrats need to pick up a net of 24 seats to regain the majority in the House. That's a tough task, especially considering the way districts were drawn after the 2010 elections to favor Republicans.