Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
Drafting 18 year olds isn't simply picking the best 18 year old, that's only part of it. The kids that don't improve after that won't make it to the NHL, unless they are top 10 picks.
It's as much picking kids on an arch, and then digging into character, genetics (if they're small), looking for a way to predict what a kid will do between 18 and 20 and then again between 20 and 22.
Mason McDonald was picking up momentum, he's a good kid, he's lanky and tall, you put that together and you likely see his arch has having more momentum so you trust in it.
Sometimes it works (Fox's season this year is a great example), sometimes it doesn't.
But second guessing these split decisions is for the fan that loves to be miserable. It happens to every organization every year.
A GM or scouting staff is a like a major league hitter, the best only get it right 35% of the time.
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While I agree with lots of what you said. When your batting 0% for an extended period of time, do you take the base hit or continue swinging for the fences ? In my opinion you take the safe bet. It's not like Demko was viewed at having a much lower ceiling than MM. In the end it doesn't really matter, MM isn't a bust yet and the flames have insane goaltending prospect depth.