Quote:
Originally Posted by AlbertaOiler72
based on what?
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nobles_point
Here's a quick example.
Let me know if you want more.
Stephen Burtch @SteveBurtch Apr 5
Last year the Oiler's xFenSV% in All situations was .9356, this year it is .9277 (significantly worse)
Stephen Burtch
@SteveBurtch
the distinction in GA is almost ENTIRELY due to the performance of Cam Talbot. Last year's Adj.FenSV% = +0.41, this year = +1.32
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Based on that and what is basically a 30 point improvement in a year where a huge chunk of your offense is based on one line and your goalie basically puts up godzilla smashing tokyo type perfoprmances, and you have very few significant injuries, and on top of that a quarter of your games involve teams playing the second half of their back to back.
Even the eye test is 70's WWE like, when McDavid is out your team looks credible when your other lines are out your team looks like the same dead team as years past.
Also in terms of cap crunch, you're going to be pretty much out of the free agent game for a while and you're going to have to trade depth for cap space and you don't have much coming up from your farm to fill that depth thanks to a decade worth of pretty much atrocious drafting after round one.
This is it for your team, unsustainable a flukey bump in the road and then a scream of torpedoes in the water and then glug glug.