Fine
line one Maroon, McDavid Draisatl vs Gaudreau Monahan Ferland
Advantage Edmonton, though the Calgary line should still be able to get good offensive chances
Line two - Lucic Hopkins Eberle vs Tkatchuk Backlund Frolik
Really large advantage to Calgary
Line three - Poulliot, Deharnais Kassian vs Versteeg, Bennett, Chiasson
Advantage slight to Calgary
Line four Caggula, Letestu, Hendricks vs Bouma Stajan Brouwer
Sizeable advantage Calgary
D pairing one - Klefbom Larrson vs Gio Hamilton monstrous advantage to Calgary.
D Pairing 2 Sekeras Russell vs Brodie Stone Monstrous Advantage Calgary
D Pairing 3 Nurse Gryba vs Bartowski Engellend slight advantage Calgary
Goaltending Talbot vs Elliot slight advantage Edmonton, though I think it might be closer to even
First line matchup
Edmonton line one dpairing two vs Calgary line 2 dpairing one, advantage to edmonton, though I do think it will be tough sledding for the Edmonton group.
Calgary line one versus Edmonton probably line 3 d pairing 1 - There's no way that they want Eberle and Lucic on the ice against calgary's first line. Eberle's defensive deficiencies and Lucic's slow footspeed are a killer, and there's no way that Edmonton won't try to match their first defensive pair against Calgary. Edmonton dosen't really have what you would call a good shut down line. They're going to have to maybe shuffle it up if they're smart because a line with Poulliot, Deharnais and Kassian will be murdered by Calgary's first line as well
Major advantage Calgary
Edmonton's powerplay 22.6 vs Calgary 20.6 slight advantage Edmonton.
Calgary's penalty kill 81.3 vs Edmonton's penalty kill 80.2 advantage Calgary
Edmonton's pp vs Calgary penalty kill slight advantage Edmonton
Edmonton's pk vs calgary's pp advantage Calgary.
Calgary is just better after the first line up front, and while the whole McDavid mystique is true, Calgary's first line isn't a set up scrubs.
The advantage that Calgary has in lines 2 3 and 4 are significant.
Blueline wise, the Flames line up is far better then what the Oilers have, and they can do more with the puck then the Oilers can. Edmonton's top 6 accounted for 34 goals so far, Calgary 41. Edmonton's blueline accumulated 124 points, Calgary 159 with their current blueliners.
X factors - Elliot and Brouwer vs Lucic and Talbot - Elliot was went into beast mode in the playoffs last year. He seems to also be peaking at the right time. Brouwer was signed based on a monster playoff performance last year, and he'll be counted on to contribute this year
Lucic is a beast, but he hasn't looked great this year and his slow speed has to be a concern against a high speed high tempo team like Calgary. Talbot really has no relevant playoff experience, and there also has to be a concern about him being over played this year, having seen action in 70 games so far.
Xfactor advantage Calgary
If Calgary can stay diciplined, get the matchups that they want they win this series, probably in 5 or 6 games. If they don't effectively gameplan for Edmonton's first line they lose, but I can't see any team letting McDavid free wheel.
Calgary in 6.
__________________
My name is Ozymandias, King of Kings;
Look on my Works, ye Mighty, and despair!
|