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Old 03-01-2017, 04:01 PM   #550
Fighting Banana Slug
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CliffFletcher View Post
Nope. But that's my whole point - prospects have the best value when you draft them yourself, because the good ones quickly go up in value.

Lazar has a better chance of being a regular NHLer than a 2nd round pick does. No question. He also has a lower ceiling, because some of those 2nd round picks will rapidly go up in value, while at draft+3 the potential of most prospects has been better defined.

That's all polak is saying: You probably won't get a player better than Lazar with a 2nd round pick, but you might get a much better player. It's not the straightforward valuation that some are claiming. Otherwise it would be a no-brainer for a GM to trade away his 2nd every year for a 4th liner.
You can't know this. Neither the yet-to-be picked second rounder, nor Lazar's ceiling has been established.
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