Legit point, but I would argue that we are dealing with small sample sizes of people who commit violent murders, then are found NCR, then are given full release.
If the argument behind NCR is that it was the mental illness that was the sole cause, and we accept that the illness can never truly be 'cured' then it stands to reason that then risk is still there. You can't say it was the illnesses fault on one hand, then say that even though the illness is still there the danger isn't on the other.
And while I have tremendous respect for the mental health professionals that made this call, let's not pretend that this is a finalized and fully understood science. It is closer to something like weather forecasting; although a lot of the science is understood, there is as much that isn't, owning to the complexities of the human mind and the variables involved. Hence the prognosis' are best guesses moving forward.
This isn't like giving a several mathematicians a math problem and getting the same answer based on the same calculations. Predicting human behaviour, including someone with a significant mental illness, is very inexact.
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