Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
There are statistics in Canada for those NCRd. 4/1800 committed murder in a 3yr period or something like that. It's in the thread here. That is the best data we have. We are relying on experts who aren't being forced to put error bars on their decisions.
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"Best data we have." NCR does not have to be due to schizophrenia though. of those 4 people who recommitted, apparently, do you even know if they had schizophrenia? Are you aware of their treatment details and their level of release? If you're going to use statistics to try and judge his threat level, you need at least a base it on his conditions. And maybe that would even paint a worse picture for Li, but the point is, we really haven't seen that picture at all. I edit my post, so you may not have seen, but GGG are you aware of anyone who killed due to a schizophrenic psychotic episode who went on to have another schizophrenic psychotic episode resulting in another death in Canada after no longer being deemed a signficant threat? I have not been able to find one such case.
I'd also like to point out that 0.8% is for violently reoffending. That is not specific to killing. It could
just be simple assault. And the studies for violent offenders to violently re-offend is something like 20% for perspective, and they get released all the time.