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Old 02-08-2017, 09:30 PM   #165
Enoch Root
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Join Date: May 2012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo View Post
With my changes to the game stories I find I get to make that eye test to underlying numbers comparison period by period these days and to me this one was what it was.

The Flames were good, but the Penguins were the better team in each of the three periods, and demonstrability so in the second.

I think if you get some chances on a powerplay a fan feels it's been evened up both those aren't five on five shot attempts or corsi relative.

Additionally overtime doesn't count at all since 3 on 3 isn't 5 on 5

But that isn't to say the Flames were "owned", they bent but didn't break against a very good hockey team in their barn
This is one of the fundamental problems with trying to analyse fluid situations with stats.

Sure, it makes total sense to use 5 on 5 for obvious reasons. Score adjusted too.

The problem is that sometimes the game doesn't fit into neat little boxes. Sometimes you do dominate on the PP - and that matters. Sometimes you get breakaways short-handed. That matters too. So does the 3 on 3.

Sometimes a team doesn't get going until they're down. But eventually, they do get going. And maybe they totally dominate from that point on. To simply dismiss it because 'score-adjusted' can miss too much information.

Sure, the Pens dominated the possession stats 5 on 5. But they didn't dominate the game. I saw that. Whether or not 5 on 5 CORSI stats saw it doesn't concern me because they simply don't see everything. As has been demonstrated over and over.
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