Experts won't deem him a non threat. They will deem him not a significant threat. Based on the recidivism study linked those deemed not a significant threat and given absolute discharges do go on to commit violent crimes again at a higher rate than the general populace.
That is with all of the safeguards that are currently in place. My argument would be that the law is not strict enough.
I enjoy that you struggle with the concept that he is allowed to choose to not take his meds. It's that question that leads me to be not able to support experts in this case. To me from a public safety stand point given the available studies I have read he should not be able to make that choice.
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