Quote:
Originally Posted by Delgar
This is revisionist and inaccurate. The "good" polls tracked both popular vote and had translations to the electoral college. All of them had Hillary winning both.
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fivethirtyeight had Hilary at a 75% chance to win the election. This means that 1 in 4 times, Trump wins.
A 75% chance is not 100%. A 25% chance is not 0%.
Even the other models, 90% chance to win is STILL not 100% chance. It's 1 in 10, which is pretty significant. I wouldn't do something if someone said I had a a 1 in 10 chance of being severely injured.