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Originally Posted by GGG
Five thirty eight has some good analysis on what missed and how .Essentially the problem was in state polling demographics weren't shifted by education. So the state polls over sampled college educated whites and under sampled non college educated whites. In the past this hasn't been an issue as their weren't significant differences between the blocks.
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Wasn't the split between college-educated and not one of the most talked about trends during the election cycle? It's pretty disingenuous for pollsters to say they didn't think it would make a difference.