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Old 12-06-2016, 09:13 AM   #460
Bandwagon In Flames
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike F View Post
If Gulutzen's system is: "have a great goaltender", then, ya, it's finally clicking. Johnson has been absolutely lights out lately. Unfortunately, beyond Johnson and the PK (something a hot goalie will definitely aid), in the games I watched (and I tuned out of last night's game at 1-1 to watch the Westworld finale, so I'm missing the context of the offensive outburst in the second half of the game, for good or ill), I'm not seeing great growth.

I'm not seeing improved breakouts, I'm not seeing increased scoring chances, and in general I'm not seeing an improved powerplay.

I can't find any game-by-game "advanced stats", so the only objective things I can point to are:
  1. In the last 12 games (their hot streak win wise, so I'm cherry picking in the most Gulutzen-friendly way), the team is -34 is SF/SA. In the 12 games before that they were -23.
  2. In the last 12 games, the PP has clicked at 17% (which would be 17th in the league over a season). In the previous 12 it was at 11%. However, that's skewed by an unusually good night against Anaheim; before last night, despite the winning, it was 13% recent vs. 11% pre-streak.
Put Johnson on last year's team and I'm betting they're in the playoffs fairly easily. Put Hiller on this team, and you would be looking at a possibly historically bad team.

All that being said, I'd totally welcome someone posting some convincing stats to counter those and give me hope that the team is really on the right track as a team, and I'll happily eat crow if the team is comfortably above .500 20 games from now.
The team has played way better in front of Johnson and if all you see is a stud goaltender then you are not following closely enough. Johnson is steady and making the saves he needs to along with an occasional highlight save, but the Flames are making sure he can see all these shots and they have been great at sweeping away rebounds. Something they weren't doing with Elliott.

The SF/SA is VERY easily explained. We have had lots of early leads in the past 12 games and typically teams will start to fall back and protect their lead when up by 2-3 goals. And the Flames have been great at protecting leads lately.

Powerplay is also looking miles better even if they aren't producing at a much higher clip. Not sure why you'd leave out the Anaheim game though... Might as well leave out the Buffalo game too because that was an equal anomaly for PK goals against.

All 4 lines have been providing lot's of scoring chances and lots of goals. The 8 goal game in Anaheim was with 8 different skaters. The Flames have playoff level depth.

And all these games won came without our top scorer. The first game he's back we score 8 goals against a team that usually makes us their bitch. If that's not a positive sign, I don't know what is.
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