[CroFlames]

Originally Posted by squiggs96

Next 14 games, with one left in November and 13 in December:

vs. Toronto (9-8-4)
vs. Minnesota (11-7-3)
vs. Anaheim (10-8-4)
at Dallas (9-8-6)
at Arizona (8-10-2)
vs. Winnipeg (10-12-2)
vs. Tampa Bay (13-9-1)
vs. Columbus (11-5-4)
at Arizona (8-10-2)
at San Jose (12-9-1)
vs. Vancouver (9-11-2)
at Colorado (9-10-1)
vs. Anaheim (10-8-4)
vs. Arizona (8-10-2)

The worst part of Calgary's schedule is over. They have played the most games in the NHL (25), while two teams have only played 20 games. Calgary only has one back to back set in December (at Arizona, at San Jose), but they have two days of before and after these two games. They also play at home before and after. From the 21st-26th they only play once, at home against Vancouver.

Toronto, Anaheim (1st game), and Vancouver games are all their second game of a back to back. The Vancouver game is their third game in four nights, although the previous two games are two straight home games against Winnipeg.

Calgary plays the worst team in the league, Arizona, three times in December. They also get Vancouver and Colorado, which are near the basement.

In order to be above the black line after the NYE game, they would need 24 points in the 14 games. That seems unreasonable. The green snake had 45 points after 39 points, so the red snake would still need 23 points to catch it by then. In order to finish with 96 points the Flames need 74 points in their last 57 games (1.298 PPG). If they are on that pace, they will get 18 points in the last 14 games of 2016 with a record of 9-5-0, or some combination. Given the opponents, locations, and last few games, that doesn't seem unreasonable. A win tomorrow against Toronto will put them on the right track.

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