Quote:
Originally Posted by N-E-B
The renewals will drop, but there's a long waiting list. They won't be hurting for season ticket holders any time soon.
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How do you reconcile that long waiting list with the fact that games aren't selling out. The flames can spin it how they will, but I would wager that its because season ticket demand is already dropping off.
My bet is that because the Hot House waiting list lets you defer for a year when you're at the front of the line, a lot of people have done just that. And what happens the next year? You either take season tickets or you drop off the list.
I would bet that most people on the list at this point have deferred for a year, and given the way the team is playing, they won't be signing up next year.
I actually think that its very hard for attendance to fall below a sell-out, because of pent-up demand, like the waitlists that you've mentioned. But as soon as a team stops selling out, its a canary in the coal mine.