Quote:
Originally Posted by Slava
I had a hard time with this explanation. I think its an attempt to say "I wasn't really wrong" when in fact he wasn't anywhere close to right. It's more than just 1/100 here and there. Its those voters being in states that matter and as a result flipping those contests. (Unless I'm missing something?)
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Yeah but everybody missed, all his model can do is go off polling and historical trends all of which got turned upside down. At the end of the day, 538's model was less wrong than everybody else, giving Trump a significant chance overall to win when nobody else gave him a shot.