I think the trump path to victory is Florida, Michigan, NC. Michigan being difficult to poll in the primary so a large local polling error could leave the door open to a trump win there. Its demographically favourable as well.
Trumps needs polling errors to win states he's trailing in so his path to victory is which states most likely have polling errors favourable to Trump.
NC is also up there given the tightness of the polls and the voter suppression efforts put forth.
Did you know their are 16% fewer polling stations this year since the over turning of the civil rights legislation requiring federal approval of election changes for southern states.
So really its the crazy state of Florida that gets to once again decided the election as the new Hampshire path is dead with Nevada looking solidly democratic based on the early vote.
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