Yeah I was following that when it was happening. HuffPo basically (intentionally or not) accused him of cooking the books (essentially lying about his model) though so I don't think his response was that out of line.
I read the HuffPo piece before I saw Nate's tweets start and I thought they fundamentally are missing or not undestanding a feature of his model. I've seen poll numbers adjusted up for Clinton in the past, the adjustments depend on the inputs, not on the whim of Nate. One can argue if the adjustments are valid or not, but their criticism wasn't that.
One reporter I like said on her twitter: According to my model both nerds are losing by virtue of the fact that they're arguing about math on a Saturday.
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Uncertainty is an uncomfortable position.
But certainty is an absurd one.
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