Quote:
Originally Posted by peter12
This is totally reasonable.
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Yes, but the reason we know about those swing states, and the ones that are locks is because this data mining occurs.
History and common sense can give you (largely correct) assumptions about the outcomes, this is basically just corroborating that assumption.
I agree with what GGG is saying as far as predicting it goes, but that doesn't mean the data is meaningless. It's the science behind his very basic breakdown of it. How did he come up with 5 or 6 swing states? Because people are going through piles of data (god knows why), to build models that show us those tendencies. We have learned so much about the demographics of large and tiny regions of the US because of this type of data.
Why are there swing states?
What areas cause the swing?
Which ones have seen the most changes?
etc...
these are all questions that can be answered with enough hard data about which way people are voting.