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Originally Posted by Magnum PEI
I dont frequent the site, but I've heard 538 has been wrong a lot since it predicted Brazil in the 7-1 Germany game.
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They were deadly accurate in the last two U.S. elections. In 2008 they correctly called 49/50 states, and in 2012 they got all 50 right. That being said, this election is arguably the most volatile in U.S. history, and 538 has mentioned a few times that the craziness of this election is a real test for their model. We'll see what happens next Tuesday, but based on their track record I'm pretty confident that they'll end up being correct with this one as well.