Quote:
Originally Posted by calumniate
Omg come on Peter! Is this sarcasm? You just torch a guy and immediately back out of it like this, stating you don't understand stats or probability? You're undermining yourself at every turn..
Predicting this election is complex (I'd compare it weather forecasting). So yeah it's not a perfect science and it's not intended to be. But throwing someone under a bus because you don't understand what they do? That's rich
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I am not throwing him under the bus at all. I am mocking his silly, and pretentious supporters who aren't willing to make the same admission that for the most part, they don't have a clue about the mathematics behind the forecasts, but rather like the forecasts because they give the illusion of mathematical certainty to their own beliefs.