Quote:
Originally Posted by peter12
I have no idea as I don't understand statistics, and particularly, probability. Most people don't, but given its rhetorical weight of forecasting, these days, most people pretend to.
It feels good when the numbers tell you that you are on the right side of History.
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Future generations tell us who was on the right side of history. Regardless of which horse you're pulling for there is nothing wrong with 538's methodology. People attacking 538 and Nate Silver typically dislike his results, haven't seen one person yet argue successfully against his formula.