Quote:
Originally Posted by burn_this_city
Nate Silver's method is pretty solid, he's got history on his side from the last two elections. His book "The Signal and the Noise" was a pretty good read on forecasting.
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I have no idea as I don't understand statistics, and particularly, probability. Most people don't, but given its rhetorical weight of forecasting, these days, most people pretend to.
It feels good when the numbers tell you that you are on the right side of History.