Quote:
Originally Posted by peter12
Taleb Nicholas Nassim has been a constant critic of 538's misuse of statistics for the sake of popular appeal throughout this entire cycle.
It is political rhetoric with the veneer of mathematical certainty.
As someone with a very basic understanding of statistics, I tend to ignore everything about Nate Silver, and his little band of meritocratic spinsters.
Of course if you took away fivethirtyeight, most posters in this thread would have very little to read.
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Nate Silver's method is pretty solid, he's got history on his side from the last two elections. His book "The Signal and the Noise" was a pretty good read on forecasting.