Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis
But that's the thing, if any state will have a massive polling error it will be Pennsylvania
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Trump hasn't led in any poll of Penn since the middle of September... in that time 23 different polling companies have conducted 1 or more polls of the state. To assume a massive polling error is to assume that 23 seperate entities all with their own methodology have all been blowing it. Doubtful
Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis
since it's demographically similar to Ohio, where Trump has been ahead for almost two months.
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That's not true. In the past two months Clinton has been ahead several times (and behind several times). It has not been a steady hold for Trump. I'd say he's ahead right now... but if I were to say how long he's been ahead I'd say two weeks (not two months).
Honestly, if Trumps hopes are pinned on there being a massive polling error (in his favor) in some places (but not in others) and no corresponding error in Clinton's favor anywhere else and Clinton's money advantage counting for naught and organizational advantage counting for naught...
I understand the nervious nellying... the thought of Donald Trump controlling nuclear codes is terrifying... but folk ought to chill, she got this.