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Old 10-26-2016, 10:29 PM   #664
octothorp
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG View Post
I think the Florida state poll is likely what is driving trumps improved chances
Yeah, that caused a big swing. Which makes sense, I mean it definitely creates some uncertainty. For both the two polls that are showing a tighter race in Florida, I think it's the first time in the field. I'd like to see some other pollsters who have been in field release more, and see if they're showing any trends.

NYT Upshot is going to have a daily tracker of North Carolina, seeing if they can use the detailed voter rolls and daily updates of who has voted, to give an accurate projection of the state:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...e=sectionfront

(use incognito mode to get past NYT article limits).
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