Re Florida: Yeah those are the affiliation of the early voter. It's making the assumption that the early voting patterns of this election will mimic the patterns from the other recent elections (because we know the final results of the previous elections with respect to early voter patterns).
The Politico article also mentions that the Democratic early voters are 28% first time or rare voters compared to 20% for Republicans.
Not enough to call an election, but certainly not what one would want out of the gate if hoping for a Trump victory. He needs Florida.
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Uncertainty is an uncomfortable position.
But certainty is an absurd one.
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