Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan
One thing that may or may not make you feel better about that: it's estimated that as many as 40% of voters may already have cast their ballots by Election Day. As of this morning, 5.6 million Americans have already voted.
http://www.electproject.org/early_2016
Traditionally the GOP has had an advantage among early voters, but that changed in 2008 and 2012. This year is shaping up to be the same, I think--though it is hard to know what to make of these numbers, and (I think) dangerous to read too much into them. But I think if an "October surprise" happens around Halloween, there is a good chance it will simply be too late to make any difference. |
Also of note, in the swing states, the early vote has stayed about the same for the Dems or slightly increased, while the total for the Republicans has fallen off the face of the earth. In North Carolina, the Dems had about 17000 at this time last time. They are at 17500 now. Not a big deal. The Republicans had over 34000 and are now at 16000+. It's the same story in the other states as well.