[GGG]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

Which model will be right? Nate Silver or Helmut Norpoth

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...mp-last-night/

http://www.syracuse.com/politics/ind...p_victory.html

I'll bet on Nate.

The Norpoth model essentially says a party with a competitive primary will when the election.