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Old 10-19-2016, 11:27 AM   #589
octothorp
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I'm enjoying how on 538's update page, they're now showing how each update affects the projection. (ie. when two national polls came out earlier this morning including one showing Clinton up +15, that moves the projection +0.4 toward Clinton.) It also shows just how hard it is for Clinton to actually increase her odds in the projection... a poll showing her up 9 in Virginia caused her to lose 0.2 in the projection.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...ecast/updates/
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