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octothorp · 10-17-2016, 11:55 AM

So we're now at exactly half way between the first debate and the election, and Clinton's odds over that stretch look like a Tour de France elevation map on a brutal mountain day. Trump needs her to have a descent just as steep to make this into an even contest by November 8th.

Hey, look at Alaska up to a 33% chance of a Clinton victory according to the 538. (I'd expect it to still be like Idaho and Montana, but I can't help thinking that maybe concerns over Trump's coziness with Russia might play a little more there than other deep red states.)

edit: And maybe it has something to do with an awful campaign organization in the state that neglected to have any information about Trump included in the voter guide.

10-17-2016, 11:55 AM	#558
octothorp Franchise Player Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: not lurking Exp:	So we're now at exactly half way between the first debate and the election, and Clinton's odds over that stretch look like a Tour de France elevation map on a brutal mountain day. Trump needs her to have a descent just as steep to make this into an even contest by November 8th. Hey, look at Alaska up to a 33% chance of a Clinton victory according to the 538. (I'd expect it to still be like Idaho and Montana, but I can't help thinking that maybe concerns over Trump's coziness with Russia might play a little more there than other deep red states.) edit: And maybe it has something to do with an awful campaign organization in the state that neglected to have any information about Trump included in the voter guide. Last edited by octothorp; 10-17-2016 at 12:56 PM.