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Old 10-14-2016, 09:47 AM   #538
ernie
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Join Date: Oct 2004
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Parallex View Post
I wouldn't bet on it.

Not that I think the senate is a surefire loss for the GOP but they're (The Democrats) ahead or close in enough states that Trumps feud with the GOP + the Democrats financial/organizational advantages ought to have them taking the senate and make inroads in the HoR (control of that is a lost cause though I think).

Democrats have consistently led on the generic ballot polls...

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...eneric-ballot/

... so they'll pick up seats the only question is how many. My bet would be enough to take the senate but not enough to get the super-majority (60) nor enough to retain control after the 2018 midterms. 51-52 seats.
I think they end up getting control as well but 538 had a piece on the down ballot voting where as Clinton has increased here lead over the past 10-14 days significantly, the Senate races have actually gotten closer. Close enough to not allow the Dems to pick up enough seats? Not likely but it may be closer than everyone assumes.
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