Quote:
Originally Posted by Flamenspiel
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...losing-ground/
"Another, far less optimistic hypothesis for Democrats is that voters are purposely splitting their tickets. As my colleague Nate Silver pointed out on Tuesday, there’s some evidence that voters split their tickets when they feel confident in predicting who the next president will be. If they’re certain it will be a Democrat, they’ll vote for a Republican for Senate, and vice versa. It’s known in political science as “ anticipatory balancing.” With Clinton’s lead becoming clearer by the day even as her favorability rating remains low (albeit not as low as Trump’s), it wouldn’t be surprising to see voters seeking a Republican Congress as a check on a President Clinton."
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It will likely be the case and perhaps the Senate even remains in GOP hands. That said, the implosion of the GOP would seem to indicate that the fringe right will be cut away and the houses may actually be cooperative with a Clinton administration.