the Flames need to be at least 500 after the first ten games.
Teams that are over 500 after the first ten games don't always make the playoffs.
That said, teams that are under 500 after the first ten games almost always miss the playoffs.
I think that 500 after the first ten games is realistic, considering the schedule looks like this:
Wed, 12 Oct 2016 Flames @ Oilers 8:00 PM
Fri, 14 Oct 2016 Oilers @ Flames 7:00 PM
Sat, 15 Oct 2016 Flames @ Canucks 8:00 PM
Tue, 18 Oct 2016 Sabres @ Flames 7:00 PM
Thu, 20 Oct 2016 Hurricanes @ Flames 7:00 PM
Sat, 22 Oct 2016 Blues @ Flames 8:00 PM
Mon, 24 Oct 2016 Flames @ Blackhawks 6:30 PM
Tue, 25 Oct 2016 Flames @ Blues 6:00 PM
Fri, 28 Oct 2016 Senators @ Flames 7:00 PM
Sun, 30 Oct 2016 Capitals @ Flames 7:30 PM
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