I think Infantino is smart here, it gives the myth that more non-europeans will get in but more europeans will actually get in.
For World Cup 2022
Let's break this down simply using the current FIFA Rankings (in brackets)
Original 16 (These guys are in):
Hosts: QATAR
UEFA (6 spots): Belgium(2), Germany(3), Portugal(7), France(8), Wales(10), Spain(11)
CONMEBOL (3 spots): Argentina(1), Colombia(4), Brazil(5)
CONCACAF (2 spots): Mexico(15), Costa Rica(18)
AFC (2 spots): Iran(37), Australia(45)
CAF (2 sports): Cote D'ivoire(34), Algeria(35)
For the playoffs, lets give 1 spot to Oceania, 10 to UEFA, 3 to CONMEBOL, and 6 to the rest.
Oceania (1 spot): New Zealand(88)
UEFA (10 spots): England(12), Italy(13), Croatia(14), Suisse(16), Poland(17), Hungary(20), Turkey(21), Bosnia(23), Netherlands(24), Austria(26)
CONMEBOL (3 spots): Chile(6), Uruguay(9), Ecuador(19)
CONCACAF (6 spots): USA(22), Panama(62), Trinidad&Tobago(69), St.Kitts&Nevis(77), Guatemala(79), Jamaica(80)
AFC (6 spots): South Korea(47), Uzbekistan(49), Saudi Arabia(52), Japan(56), UAE(66), China(78)
CAF (6 spots): Senegal(39), Tunisia(42), Ghana(43), Congo DR(51), Egypt(53), Congo(54)
You would think that under normal FIFA procedures the top 16 would be seeded against the bottom 16
The top 16 are
Chile(6)
Uruguay(9)
England(12)
Italy(13)
Croatia(14)
Suisse(16)
Poland(17)
Ecuador(19)
Hungary(20)
Turkey(21)
USA(22)
Bosnia(23)
Netherlands(24)
Austria(26)
Senegal(39)
Tunisia (42)
How many of the other 16 can beat any of these 16? not many. You could have 16 European teams in a 32 team world cup.
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