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Old 09-27-2016, 11:43 AM   #66
octothorp
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch View Post
But was this debate enough to move the needle significantly on the polls? Or in the voting box, I'm not sure it was.

At this point, its pretty rare that knockout punches are delivered in debates anymore, the last outright knockout punch I remember in any leadership debate was Mulroney tearing John Turner a new one in a leadership debate.

And I think Reagan in a presidential debate against MD.

At this point, the battle is for the what 5% undecided voters who really aren't going to decide until their sitting in the ballot boxes.

I personally think that there should always be a final debate on the night of the vote so that people go to the box with a fresh memory of the candidates.
I don't know, I think this debate performance won't exactly swing the polls, but it will further harden the cap on his upside. He's been unable to consistently poll above the low 40s, and I think with this debate he's probably capped himself at about that amount, barring some bombshell revelation about Clinton. In this election low 40s is still potentially enough to win if third party votes are strong and the electoral college breaks your way. But I think any chance of him getting even close to 50% of the popular vote disappeared last night.
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