Quote:
Originally Posted by Flash Walken
Trump has nowhere to go but up and that is terrifying.
|
I'm not so sure. I would suspect most people have only read about Trump on Facebook or on TV (if they're old folk), and so they've just seen some very short clips. That means a lot of people will really only see the Trump show themselves for the first time during the debates, and I suspect a lot of them will simply be disappointed. Political debates are generally damned boring if you're not into politics (and often even if you are), so people tuning in expecting to be entertained will most likely just tune out in fifteen minutes or less. And the one they will be disappointed in will be Trump, because he was supposed to be the interesting one.
I also don't think Trumps charisma reallys last in big doses. He's kind of a one-trick pony as a speaker, and in my opinion tiresome to listen to for any length of time. I've tried to watch his RNC speech a couple of times, and I never make it to the end because i's mostly just really boring. He's kind of a slow talker and repeats himself too much. Even his voice gets kind of annoying.
A lot of people here have been saying that Trump essentially just needs to not make a fool of himself, but I think that opinion is mostly shared by people who already think he is a fool (or worse), and those people are not terribly likely to vote for him anyway.
On the other hand, nobody really excepts Clinton to be anything more than a competent politician, and that's much easier to deliver. She basically needs to be herself and not faint on stage. If she can throw in a good zinger that gets lots of Facebook coverage, she'll probably be just fine.
I think Trump is also potentially a good opponent for Clinton. Acting like a bully is a big reason why Trump has that aura of power, but doing it to Clinton could easily lose her too many of those female votes he desperately needs.
Clinton on the other hand has a problem of being (or at least seeming) condescending. Seeming condescending towards a smart and respectful guy like Obama looked bad. Being condesdencing towards a loud bully would look strong. What's worse for Trump, if you try to bully someone and they're just unimpressed, you'll seem kind of pathetic.
Clinton also only needs to split the rest of the undecideds to win the election, and that isn't super hard. That's why the gap narrowing isn't too worrisome for Clinton.