Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
Id agree it's not 50/50 and think it's higher than the current model suggests. I'd buy Hillary stock at the current price of 63%. However I'd likely not go over the 75% point.
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That seems about right. I mean if I were a gambling man and someone were to approach me with a straight up bet I wouldn't consider putting money on Trump unless I got around 4/1 odds or thereabouts (I still wouldn't because... bad kharma) but dispassionately speaking that's where I'd put money down if I were so inclined.
NY Times has a site that shows all the prediction models (alongside there own) if you're interested...
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...forecast.html?