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Old 09-23-2016, 09:55 AM   #390
Senator Clay Davis
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Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Maryland State House, Annapolis
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Originally Posted by New Era View Post
You'll notice I said Trump has to steal several states from Clinton to have a chance. Considering polling trends, that is highly unlikely. You could toss out a map where Trump takes California too. It is a possibility, but there is no reality to that particular scenario. There is more of a chance that Clinton turns Arizona, Nevada (already a likely Clinton win), and Texas before Trump turns the number of states you're suggesting in any of those maps. There is a possible path, then there is a realistic path. Trump currently holds no realistic path to 270 electoral votes.
Yes he does. Again winning Wisconsin + Colorado is all he needs with current polling, and recent polls suggest he's inside the margin of error or close in both those states. You need to stop acting like it's utterly impossible for him to win. His odds on 538 are pretty much spot on right now, 40%. And there's still a good 20% of voters who are undecided or whose minds could change. If she bombs the debate Monday it's a 50/50 race, without a doubt. I know that terrifies you, but acting like it can't happen is exactly how it will happen.
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