Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
First of all, I don't think there is any chance he would get $25M on a 4 year deal. Being all RFA, I think it would be under $20M.
Second, it is a MASSIVE assumption to think he would get an 8 x $90M in 4 years. That would only come after Stanley Cups and competing for scoring titles and Hart trophies.
I would think a bridge deal would be more like Subban's - most recent bridge deals have 3 handles, not 6.
If he were to sign a 2 year, $7M deal, and he continued to be a top 5 - 10 in the league in scoring, he could expect maybe an 8 x $8M or 8 x $8.5M (the Stamkos deal)
If I were Gaudreau, I would look at getting maybe a 7 year deal (which would probably be around $6.75M per), which would tee him up for a full UFA deal when he's 29.
So 7 x $6.75M = $47.25M
Then say another 7 x $10M (or whatever UFA stars are getting at that point)
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Wait, you think his RFA years would only go for $5M, but his UFA years 11.25M? Essentially, you're saying the UFA years are 225% more valuable.
That's not a logical conclusion IMO. To me, his RFA years start at 6M.
Given he's been 18% more productive than Tarasenko had shown when he signed 8 year 60M contract, I think that's reasonable.