Quote:
Originally Posted by Roof-Daddy
Maybe Johnny is willing to gamble on himself for the next 3-5 years with a smaller AAV because he's confident that the contract after that would push the $100 million barrier. (8 years $12.5 AAV)
4 years $25 million ($6.25M AAV), then 8 years $90 million ($11.25M AAV) = 35 years old and $115 million earned.
If he signs an 8 year deal now worth $60 million he might have a hard time getting that extra $55 million on his next contract at 31 years old. 8 years is a much bigger gamble than 4 years would be IMO.
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First of all, I don't think there is any chance he would get $25M on a 4 year deal. Being all RFA, I think it would be under $20M.
Second, it is a MASSIVE assumption to think he would get an 8 x $90M in 4 years. That would only come after Stanley Cups and competing for scoring titles and Hart trophies.
I would think a bridge deal would be more like Subban's - most recent bridge deals have 3 handles, not 6.
If he were to sign a 2 year, $7M deal, and he continued to be a top 5 - 10 in the league in scoring, he could expect maybe an 8 x $8M or 8 x $8.5M (the Stamkos deal)
If I were Gaudreau, I would look at getting maybe a 7 year deal (which would probably be around $6.75M per), which would tee him up for a full UFA deal when he's 29.
So 7 x $6.75M = $47.25M
Then say another 7 x $10M (or whatever UFA stars are getting at that point)