Quote:
Originally Posted by afc wimbledon
What I'd like to know is how the complete absence of a traditional ground game will effect Trumps turn out, it's one thing to tell a poll you'll vote Trump but if no one is calling you up to check if you've voted, let you know where your polling station is (I refuse to call it a 'voting place', it's a childish term) offer you a ride etc will Trump actually get the voters who nominally support him?
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Some will attribute about 3-5% to local campaigns. So that includes door knocking, local engagement, phoning, Get out the vote etc. So this election becomes a good test for that. Will Trump under perform polling, if ground game makes a measureable difference he should. Will it show through the noise I don't know.
One thing is that Trump in the primaries underperformed or met polling. This was looked at to debunk the shy trump voter affect. So was his primary underperformance a result of lack of ground game as well?