Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan
It does make the apples-to-apples comparison a lot more difficult. My preference is for pollsters to report both numbers, and to be transparent about the "secret sauce" in their likely voter screen, but that's another story.
|
I've been really enjoying Silvers discussion around avoiding poll herding so I'm not sure releasing the secret sauce would be a good thing. If all polls used the same methodology then there would be no gain in using averages as all error should just be the statistical sample errors and any bias in the polls would be undetected.
Instead by having a bunch of polls who use "reasonable methods" to poll with you get a more accurate picture when you roll up the average.