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Old 08-24-2016, 07:08 PM   #248
Iowa_Flames_Fan
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A huge data dump of state-level polling from Ipsos today, and it's a bit of a mixed bag. Some good results for Clinton (+7 in both Florida and Ohio) and other results that are pretty good for Trump (down only 1 in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania).

These are a bit odd in that the field time is really long (all of them were in the field either July 29-August 19 or August 12-19), and the sample size is pretty small for most (~500). I'm more concerned about the long field time, as it can mask intervening events/variables, and means that the poll includes responses that are now over three weeks old.

Nevertheless, they are all listed on 538's forecast site if anyone is interested. Net effect seems to have been a very slight uptick for Trump in the "polls only" forecast.
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