Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community - View Single Post - Flames stars Sean Monahan and Johnny Gaudreau stick together

GGG · 08-22-2016, 04:14 PM

If you were paying Johnny year by year you could sign him for 5 for the next few years until he is arbitration eligible. Then he gets Taresanko money until he is a UFA. Then 10-12 as a UFA if everything works out. So his max value right now is

5,5,7.5,7.5,12,12,12,12 for 93 and 9.125 million But then you got to add in risk money where in the next two seaons he hits his peak scoring as scorers often do peak before 25 and his play away from the puck doesn't improve due to his size. Then he's probably worth

5,5,6,6,6,6,6,6 for 5.75 million

So for the next 8 years his value likely rages from 5.75 per year to 9.125 per year putting his fair value somewhere in that 7-7.5 over 8 years.

However if I'm Gaudreau I want to be a free agent at 29 at the latest while still guaranteeing my life time earnings so I'm not going longer than 6. So revisting the above numbers based on 6 years you get 5.6 -8.1 or somewhere in the 6.75mil ball park.

So I think the 7.5 range is fair for an 8 year deal but I suspect Gaudreau will want something a little shorter to set up his second big contract so a 6 year 6.75 - 7 deal is what I expect.

08-22-2016, 04:14 PM	#459
GGG Franchise Player Join Date: Aug 2008 Location: California Exp:	If you were paying Johnny year by year you could sign him for 5 for the next few years until he is arbitration eligible. Then he gets Taresanko money until he is a UFA. Then 10-12 as a UFA if everything works out. So his max value right now is 5,5,7.5,7.5,12,12,12,12 for 93 and 9.125 million But then you got to add in risk money where in the next two seaons he hits his peak scoring as scorers often do peak before 25 and his play away from the puck doesn't improve due to his size. Then he's probably worth 5,5,6,6,6,6,6,6 for 5.75 million So for the next 8 years his value likely rages from 5.75 per year to 9.125 per year putting his fair value somewhere in that 7-7.5 over 8 years. However if I'm Gaudreau I want to be a free agent at 29 at the latest while still guaranteeing my life time earnings so I'm not going longer than 6. So revisting the above numbers based on 6 years you get 5.6 -8.1 or somewhere in the 6.75mil ball park. So I think the 7.5 range is fair for an 8 year deal but I suspect Gaudreau will want something a little shorter to set up his second big contract so a 6 year 6.75 - 7 deal is what I expect.