Quote:
Originally Posted by ricardodw
What are the Flames paying for Monahan's UFA years?
The going rate for a 21 year old star player coming off ELC would be set by Hurbedeau's 3.25 M x 2. This is what the Flames could get away with if they were not worried about good will. After that 2 year deal then Monahan is a RFA with arbitration rights.
Similar to Hurbedeau there are not a lot of teams that would make a offer sheet that would likely be matched.
Hard to say what an arbitration would come up as the closest precedence would be Marcus Johanasson who was awarded 3.9M coming off a 20 goal 47 pts seasons
Monahan should/would have better numbers than that if he stays as the Flames #1C and is not passed by Bennett in the next 2 years. But say he would be awarded 6M x 2 .
That would give the Flames 4 years of Monahan services for 18.5 M
That leaves the 3 UFA years the Flames have on this contract for 26.125 or 8.7 x 3. currently tied for #6 spot cap hit with Crosby for forwards just a bit more than Stamkos just signed for last month as a UFA.
The Flames benefit by averaging out the cap hit and reducing it over the last 3 years by 2.4M /year.
They take on the risk that Monahan might not become a Stamkos/Crosby/Kopitar/Getzlaff/Perry kind of player that would be an 8.7 x 3 kind of UFA signing.
It just seems that as soon as the lock out finishes the GMs (and Agents) start working on how to spend more money and extend the cap and don't take advantage of the tools they bargained for.
What are the odds that Monahan is a 8.7 M UFA in 4 seasons?
The extra year that the Flames got over Barkov's contract cost 9.225M
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I think you have the risk wrong. The Flames are likely at risk of overpaying Monahan at the front end of this contract, not at the back half. He doesn't need to be "Crosby" in the last three years of this deal to justify it (not that 8.7 is even going to be what the elite UFAs make in 4 years, might be much higher). The whole point is to overpay for these players now so that their cap hits allow flexibility when they actually hit their prime to help compliment them.