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Originally Posted by octothorp
At the state level, North Carolina seems really interesting this time around. In addition to being a swing state, there's a very competitive governor race that seems to be tilting toward the Democrat in recent polling. But it's also a state that favours the Republicans as one of the most gerrymandered states in the country. If the Democrats can gain control of the governorship and then retain it in 2020 (when redistricting occurs), that could produce a significant swing in the house.
There are a lot of other gubernatorial elections in 2018 in traditionally blue states with Republican governors, too. Combine that with a more liberal supreme court that is more likely to clamp down on gerrymandering and voter supression, plus continued demographic changes, and the Democrats could be set up to dominate the house for a while after 2020.
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Just wanted to say, excellent post. Information dense.