[Senator Clay Davis]

A Perot situation seems unlikely because the two major party candidates are so hated you have to figure a good chunk of voters will ultimately revert to one of the two major parties as a means of blocking Hillary or Trump. People rarely follow through with the third party vote too, Johnson was polling around 5% in 2012 and ended up with 1% in the actual vote. I do think he'll do better this time, but I'd guess high single digits is his overly optimistic ceiling.