Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan
It is an area that has hidden complexities, but there are some general principles, apart from the obvious ones. For instance, larger sample sizes are better, but not over longer periods of time. In the US, the most accurate polls call both landlines and cell phones, and ask the questions in both English and Spanish.
Lastly: any poll that shows the Democrats ahead is "skewed", and must be "unskewed" by increasing the number of self-identified republicans that are responding. This includes all of the polls from 2012 which showed Obama leading by 5 points in the weeks before the election.
And justly so, because those polls TOTALLY missed the mark, since Obama ended up winning by 8 instead of 5 points.
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No, no. I know that much.
I was also being slightly sarcastic as I am sure many members "knowledge" is merely stuff they have read elsewhere, but I digress... I don't know much about advanced or even intermediate polling methodology.