Quote:
Originally Posted by peter12
Polls have increasingly fallen short of actual political outcomes. Based on recent experience in Scotland, GOP primaries, Brexit, the outlier turned out to be the reality.
I still don't think anyone in here really understands the mindset of the Trump voter.
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That you would conflate referenda polling with presidential election polling speaks volumes to how little you understand what you're talking about.
In one off referenda like brexit you don't have a benchmark so pollsters don't know how to weight. Of course the polling is going to be weaker and less explanatory for those votes.